China oil demand seen rising 10.9% in March compared with the previous year but down 4.0 percent from February as refiners produced less fuel and falling net imports.
The following table shows implied oil demand for March, net imports and
output. All volumes are shown in barrels per day.
Implied Percent change on: 12-month
demand previous year moving (Net imports + output) month ago average Crude ("Crude supplied") 9,162,450 -1.8 3.2 8,990,501 Gasoline 1,683,118 -6.1 8.3 1,688,526 Naphtha 642,156 -7.8 11.9 672,328 Kerosene 302,411 -29.6 10.9 390,356 Diesel 3,288,831 -7.8 9.9 3,286,604 Fuel oil 720,704 -0.4 7.7 637,567 Lubricating oil 250,417 22.9 5.4 212,206 LPG 699,783 -6.3 -15.8 748,166 OVERALL OIL DEMAND 9,146,846 -4.0 10.9 8,944,453
Net Percent change on: 12-month
Imports previous year moving
month ago average Crude 5,024,057 -3.0 2.7 4,865,666 Gasoline -127,908 5.1 -21.1 -120,331 Naphtha 61,647 16.7 94.6 52,059 Kerosene -69,982 -343.1 -14.4 15,873 Diesel -40,495 127093.5 -15.8 -44,700 Fuel oil 355,343 13.6 29.2 260,420 Lubricating oil 63,901 22.7 349.8 45,345 LPG 34,841 31.3 -11.1 72,312 Products subtotal 277,346 -21.1 146.1 281,951
Percent change on: 12-month
Output previous year moving
month ago average Output (BARRELS PER DAY) Crude 4,138,394 -0.2 3.9 4,124,836 Gasoline 1,811,026 -5.4 5.5 1,808,856 Naphtha 580,510 -9.8 7.1 620,269 Kerosene 372,394 -7.0 5.1 374,483 Diesel 3,329,326 -6.7 9.5 3,331,304 Fuel oil 365,361 -11.0 -7.2 377,147 Lubricating oil 186,516 22.9 4.3 162,750 LPG 664,942 -7.7 -16.0 675,854 Refinery runs 8,869,500 -3.4 9.0 8,662,502* Reuters calculates China's oil demand by adding the total amount of crude refined during the relevant period, as reported by the National Statistical Bureau, to net imports of major oil products reported by Customs.
This strips out any changes in crude oil inventories, which are rarely
reported in China.
It also does not take into account the 1-2 percent loss in overall product volume created by the refining process. Nor does it include the small amount of crude that is directly burned as fuel at oil fields or power stations or that is used by small, unreported 'teapot' refineries.
Demand by product is calculated by the refinery output for each product plus net imports.
Source
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