China oil demand seen rising 10.9% in March compared with the previous year but down 4.0 percent from February as refiners produced less fuel and falling net imports.
The following table shows implied oil demand for March, net imports and
output. All volumes are shown in barrels per day.
Implied Percent change on: 12-month
demand previous year moving
(Net imports + output) month ago average
Crude ("Crude supplied") 9,162,450 -1.8 3.2 8,990,501
Gasoline 1,683,118 -6.1 8.3 1,688,526
Naphtha 642,156 -7.8 11.9 672,328
Kerosene 302,411 -29.6 10.9 390,356
Diesel 3,288,831 -7.8 9.9 3,286,604
Fuel oil 720,704 -0.4 7.7 637,567
Lubricating oil 250,417 22.9 5.4 212,206
LPG 699,783 -6.3 -15.8 748,166
OVERALL OIL DEMAND 9,146,846 -4.0 10.9 8,944,453
Net Percent change on: 12-month
Imports previous year moving
month ago average
Crude 5,024,057 -3.0 2.7 4,865,666
Gasoline -127,908 5.1 -21.1 -120,331
Naphtha 61,647 16.7 94.6 52,059
Kerosene -69,982 -343.1 -14.4 15,873
Diesel -40,495 127093.5 -15.8 -44,700
Fuel oil 355,343 13.6 29.2 260,420
Lubricating oil 63,901 22.7 349.8 45,345
LPG 34,841 31.3 -11.1 72,312
Products subtotal 277,346 -21.1 146.1 281,951
Percent change on: 12-month
Output previous year moving
month ago average
Output (BARRELS PER DAY)
Crude 4,138,394 -0.2 3.9 4,124,836
Gasoline 1,811,026 -5.4 5.5 1,808,856
Naphtha 580,510 -9.8 7.1 620,269
Kerosene 372,394 -7.0 5.1 374,483
Diesel 3,329,326 -6.7 9.5 3,331,304
Fuel oil 365,361 -11.0 -7.2 377,147
Lubricating oil 186,516 22.9 4.3 162,750
LPG 664,942 -7.7 -16.0 675,854
Refinery runs 8,869,500 -3.4 9.0 8,662,502
* Reuters calculates China's oil demand by adding the total amount of crude refined during the relevant period, as reported by the National Statistical Bureau, to net imports of major oil products reported by Customs.
This strips out any changes in crude oil inventories, which are rarely
reported in China.
It also does not take into account the 1-2 percent loss in overall product volume created by the refining process. Nor does it include the small amount of crude that is directly burned as fuel at oil fields or power stations or that is used by small, unreported 'teapot' refineries.
Demand by product is calculated by the refinery output for each product plus net imports.
Source
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